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The table below shows the odds of each hand winning in typical all-in match ups in Texas Holdem. The percentage chance of winning assumes that both players are all-in and that all 5 community cards will be dealt to determine a winner. The table also assumes that there are no other players in the hand, although the results should be very similar.
Poker Odds - Calculating Hand Odds In Texas Hold'em Poker & Charts Learning how to properly count your outs and calculate poker odds is a fundamental requirement of Texas Hold'em. While the math used to calculate odds might sound scary and over the head of a new player, it really isn't as hard as it looks.
All-in hands probability odds chart.
| Typical Match Up | Hand 1 | Hand 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under Pair vs. Overcards | T T | 57% | 43% | A K |
| Overpair vs. Pair | K K | 80% | 20% | 9 9 |
| 2 Overcards vs. 2 Undercards | A Q | 63% | 37% | 5 7 |
| Dominated Hand | A J | 79% | 21% | J T |
| Very Dominated Hand | Q Q | 89% | 11% | Q J |
| Overcard vs. Dominated Kicker | A 9 | 29% | 71% | 9 9 |
| Pair vs. 1 Overcard | 8 8 | 69% | 31% | A 5 |
| 1 Overcard vs. 2 Middle Cards | J 4 | 57% | 43% | 6 8 |
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How to use the all in match-ups odds chart.
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The table can be used to estimate your chances of winning in common all-in situations, however, the table does not highlight the exact probabilities for the certain match-ups in general.
For example: in the pair v overcards match-up, 2 2 would be a 53% favourite against A K instead of being a slightly stronger favourite like T T with a 57% chance of winning. The is due to other factors such as the increased probability that two overpairs will appear on the board creating a higher two-pair with a better kicker for the player holding A K.
All in match up odds evaluation.
As you can see from the table, some of the match-ups are closer than you might expect them to be. For example, if you have another player dominated with a hand like A J against J T, your opponent will win the pot 1 time in 4. Therefore you should be careful not to become overly excited when cards like these are turned over in an all-in situation, because your opponent is not always as far behind as you think.
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Another interesting all-in match up is the very common AK versus an under pair. The table shows that although the odds are fairly even, the under-pair will usually have the slight advantage.
This means that it is always better to be pushing all-in rather than calling an all-in with AK if necessary, because to call with AK against an under pair is a losing play in the long run. By pushing all-in with AK you give your opponent the opportunity to fold for fear of an overpair, which will improve your expectation in the long run.
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